Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230939           4          18          58          18           2        C2.5
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000914867           3          25          50          19           3        C2.5
GOES Xray  =   8.36000e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C8.4
est. ISN   =       103.000           1           1          66          28           4        C5.5
 
together                             2.00       11.00       57.00       25.50        4.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      X2.1