Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00243540           1           0          65          31           3        C5.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00108397           2           4          72          19           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   1.23000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       99.0000           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.00        1.25       57.50       33.75        6.50     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      M3.1