Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238007           1           6          67          19           7        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00104336           3          11          61          17           8        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.72000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.8
est. ISN   =       111.000           1           0          56          35           8        C8.3
 
together                             1.00        4.25       59.00       28.25        7.50     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.5