Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00242114           1           2          63          28           6        C5.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00105006           3           7          67          16           7        C3.6
GOES Xray  =   1.06000e-06           1           0          28          57          14        M1.7
est. ISN   =       110.000           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             1.00        2.50       54.00       34.00        8.50     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      X1.0