Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239089           2           4          70          18           6        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00103650           3          12          63          14           8        C3.3
GOES Xray  =   9.19000e-07           1           0          46          45           8        M1.1
est. ISN   =       112.000           1           0          56          35           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.50        4.00       59.00       28.00        7.50     C6.3
 
realized                                                                                      X2.3