Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00228803           2          25          63           9           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000959259           3          17          56          21           3        C2.4
GOES Xray  =   5.39000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       109.000           1           0          59          33           7        C8.2
 
together                             1.50       10.50       61.75       22.75        3.50     C4.2
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5