Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00223534           5          51          39           5           0        B9.2
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000865314           6          42          44           8           0        C1.1
GOES Xray  =   5.16000e-07           2           0          62          34           2        C6.1
est. ISN   =       97.0000           1           0          65          29           5        C6.5
 
together                             3.50       23.25       52.50       19.00        1.75     C3.0
 
realized                                                                                      M1.9