Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00230651           3          19          59          16           3        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000965333           3          18          53          22           4        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   6.32000e-07           1           0          65          30           4        C6.6
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.50       10.75       61.50       23.00        3.25     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6