Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229443           1          22          61          15           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000962006           3          17          55          22           3        C2.7
GOES Xray  =   5.97000e-07           1           0          66          30           3        C6.8
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.25       10.00       60.50       25.25        3.00     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      M5.0