Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00229159           1          23          63          12           1        C2.3
LYRA ch2-4 =   0.000977598           3          15          56          21           5        C3.2
GOES Xray  =   5.73000e-07           1           0          69          27           3        C6.0
est. ISN   =       87.0000           1           0          66          28           5        C6.0
 
together                             1.00        9.50       64.00       22.00        3.50     C4.1
 
realized                                                                                      C3.2