Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234266           4          11          63          19           3        C3.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00102661           2          15          63          15           5        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   7.66000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             1.75        6.75       58.75       27.50        5.25     C5.1
 
realized                                                                                      X3.3