Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235263           4          12          57          23           4        C4.4
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00100997           2          12          66          18           2        C3.7
GOES Xray  =   8.05000e-07           1           0          53          38           8        C8.6
est. ISN   =       99.0000           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             1.75        6.25       61.00       26.25        4.75     C5.2
 
realized                                                                                      M3.8