Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00232886           2          15          63          18           2        C3.0
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00101738           2          13          68          15           2        C3.1
GOES Xray  =   5.96000e-07           1           0          67          29           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       113.000           1           0          55          36           8        C8.4
 
together                             1.00        7.00       63.75       24.50        3.75     C4.8
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4