Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241489           1           3          63          27           6        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00117266           1           0          64          31           4        C5.1
GOES Xray  =   6.28000e-07           1           0          65          31           3        C6.6
est. ISN   =       71.0000           1           3          60          32           4        C5.4
 
together                             0.25        2.00       63.25       30.25        4.25     C5.6
 
realized                                                                                      C2.6