Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248104           2           4          55          32           7        C6.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00125573           2           2          64          28           4        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   7.78000e-07           1           0          52          40           7        C9.0
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             1.00        3.00       60.00       31.00        5.00     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      X1.1