Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00254274           1           4          66          29           0        C5.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00132809           1           0          61          33           5        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   9.34000e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             1.00        3.25       58.00       33.50        4.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M2.4