Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00258120           1           1          63          33           2        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00144471           1           2          55          36           6        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   8.84000e-07           1           0          47          47           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =       118.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.25        1.00       54.50       39.25        5.00     C8.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.9