Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00246440           1           3          54          38           4        C7.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133635           1           0          60          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   5.20000e-07           2           0          63          32           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       46.0000           4          24          61           8           3        C1.8
 
together                             1.75        7.00       59.50       27.75        4.00     C5.0
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6