Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241198           1           4          65          24           6        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124871           2           2          66          26           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   4.64000e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       45.0000           4          25          61           7           3        C1.7
 
together                             2.25        8.00       67.50       18.75        3.50     C3.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.1