Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240612           1           6          63          23           7        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00120991           1           3          63          32           1        C5.9
GOES Xray  =   4.53000e-07           2           1          81          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       49.0000           3          19          67           8           3        C2.2
 
together                             1.75        7.25       68.50       19.25        3.25     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7