Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238471           2           5          70          17           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119158           1           1          61          34           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.08000e-07           1           2          79          17           1        C3.0
est. ISN   =       27.0000           6          52          35           7           0        B7.4
 
together                             2.25       15.25       61.25       18.75        2.50     C3.2
 
realized                                                                                      C2.0