Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238489           2           5          70          17           6        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115652           1           2          66          28           3        C4.5
GOES Xray  =   4.20000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C3.1
est. ISN   =       25.0000           7          55          32           6           0        B6.5
 
together                             2.25       16.25       62.50       16.25        2.75     C2.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.6