Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00238902           2           4          69          19           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00116235           1           2          66          27           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   4.47000e-07           1           1          82          14           2        C4.1
est. ISN   =       50.0000           2          15          69          13           1        C2.0
 
together                             1.50        5.50       71.50       18.25        3.25     C3.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4