Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234630           5          10          60          22           3        C3.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00111295           3           4          61          29           3        C4.7
GOES Xray  =   3.46000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       67.0000           1           7          68          23           1        C3.9
 
together                             3.00        6.75       65.75       22.75        1.75     C3.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.5