Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00234069           4          13          62          18           3        C2.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00110317           3           2          64          29           2        C5.0
GOES Xray  =   3.33000e-07           4           8          73          15           0        C2.2
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             3.75        8.25       65.50       20.75        1.75     C3.3
 
realized                                                                                      C1.0