Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235947           3          13          58          23           3        C3.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115071           1           3          66          26           4        C4.4
GOES Xray  =   3.66000e-07           1           6          77          16           0        C3.0
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             1.25        5.75       68.75       21.25        3.00     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4