Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239427           1           4          71          19           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119301           1           1          62          34           2        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.92000e-07           3           1          62          33           1        C5.7
est. ISN   =       101.000           1           1          67          26           5        C5.5
 
together                             1.50        1.75       65.50       28.00        3.25     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.5