Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239914           1           6          67          21           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00123936           2           2          63          30           3        C6.5
GOES Xray  =   4.18000e-07           1           2          80          15           2        C3.0
est. ISN   =       80.0000           1           3          65          27           4        C5.6
 
together                             1.00        3.50       68.75       23.25        3.50     C4.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.2