Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263045           1           1          59          35           4        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00157999           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   8.43000e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =       65.0000           4          10          63          21           2        C3.8
 
together                             1.50        3.25       61.00       30.00        4.25     C5.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.2