Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261391           1           1          60          35           3        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00156360           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   8.19000e-07           1           0          52          38           9        C9.0
est. ISN   =       69.0000           1           5          68          24           2        C4.2
 
together                             0.25        2.50       62.50       30.75        4.00     C5.9
 
realized                                                                                      C2.2