Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263510           1           1          57          36           5        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00160463           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   7.89000e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =       103.000           1           1          66          28           4        C5.5
 
together                             0.75        1.00       61.50       32.25        4.50     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9