Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261949           1           1          61          33           4        C6.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00161545           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   7.28000e-07           1           0          53          37           9        C9.3
est. ISN   =       128.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        0.75       58.75       34.25        5.50     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C2.7