Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00261243           1           1          60          35           3        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00159814           1           2          69          26           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   7.18000e-07           1           0          55          35           9        C8.6
est. ISN   =       110.000           1           0          57          35           7        C8.3
 
together                             0.50        1.00       60.50       32.75        5.25     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      C5.9