Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)


based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253344           1           4          67          27           1        C5.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00145115           1           2          56          35           6        C6.2
GOES Xray  =   6.33000e-07           1           0          64          30           5        C6.9
est. ISN   =       83.0000           1           1          58          34           6        C7.5
 
together                             0.50        2.00       61.50       31.50        4.50     C6.5
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6