Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00260270           1           2          60          34           3        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00151637           1           4          68          25           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   7.84000e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =       88.0000           1           0          72          24           3        C4.5
 
together                             0.50        1.75       63.50       30.50        3.75     C6.0
 
realized                                                                                      C4.0