Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00260692           1           2          59          35           3        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00152602           1           3          69          25           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   7.61000e-07           1           0          49          42           8        M1.0
est. ISN   =       102.000           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.75        1.75       60.75       32.25        4.50     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      C1.8