Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00258668           1           1          63          33           2        C6.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00148604           1           2          62          32           3        C5.6
GOES Xray  =   7.79000e-07           1           0          53          39           7        C8.6
est. ISN   =       102.000           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.25        1.50       61.25       32.75        4.25     C6.4
 
realized                                                                                      M3.5