Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00264041           1           1          57          36           5        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00152335           1           4          68          25           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   1.03000e-06           1           0          30          59          10        M1.4
est. ISN   =       104.000           1           1          65          29           4        C6.3
 
together                             1.00        1.50       55.00       37.25        5.25     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6