Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00262565           1           1          62          32           4        C6.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00149522           1           3          64          29           3        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   1.16000e-06           1           0          25          59          15        M1.8
est. ISN   =       102.000           1           1          66          27           5        C6.0
 
together                             0.75        1.50       54.25       36.75        6.75     C7.7
 
realized                                                                                      C9.2