Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00248000           1           2          55          35           7        C7.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133000           1           0          61          33           5        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   5.38000e-07           1           0          68          28           3        C6.1
est. ISN   =       81.0000           2           1          63          28           6        C6.5
 
together                             1.25        0.75       61.75       31.00        5.25     C6.7
 
realized                                                                                      M1.6