Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00240879           1           6          64          23           6        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00124475           2           2          66          26           4        C6.3
GOES Xray  =   4.23000e-07           1           1          79          17           2        C3.3
est. ISN   =       79.0000           1           4          65          26           4        C5.0
 
together                             1.00        3.50       68.50       23.00        4.00     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C1.7