Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239616           1           5          72          17           5        C4.2
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119949           2           3          62          31           2        C5.4
GOES Xray  =   4.65000e-07           2           1          78          18           1        C4.5
est. ISN   =       70.0000           1           3          68          26           2        C4.3
 
together                             1.25        3.25       70.00       23.00        2.50     C4.5
 
realized                                                                                      C4.7