Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00235121           5          11          56          24           4        C4.1
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00115623           1           2          66          28           3        C4.8
GOES Xray  =   3.43000e-07           3           6          74          17           0        C2.4
est. ISN   =       77.0000           1           9          59          28           3        C4.9
 
together                             2.25        7.25       63.75       24.25        2.50     C3.8
 
realized                                                                                      C4.4