Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00253374           1           4          67          27           1        C5.3
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139256           1           1          59          33           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   9.96000e-07           1           0          32          57          10        M1.3
est. ISN   =       99.0000           1           1          67          26           5        C6.1
 
together                             0.75        1.75       56.25       35.75        5.50     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      M6.4