Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00263571           1           1          57          36           5        C6.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00152469           1           4          68          25           2        C4.9
GOES Xray  =   9.28000e-07           1           0          46          44           9        M1.1
est. ISN   =       117.000           1           0          51          41           7        C9.2
 
together                             0.75        1.25       55.75       36.50        5.75     C7.5
 
realized                                                                                      C7.1