Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00256287           1           3          62          33           1        C5.9
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00139960           1           1          59          33           6        C6.7
GOES Xray  =   8.84000e-07           1           0          47          47           5        M1.0
est. ISN   =       75.0000           1          10          50          35           4        C7.0
 
together                             0.25        4.00       54.75       37.00        4.00     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      M3.6