Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00251485           2           4          66          25           3        C4.6
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00133533           1           0          60          33           6        C7.0
GOES Xray  =   7.65000e-07           1           0          50          42           7        C9.9
est. ISN   =       84.0000           1           1          59          34           5        C6.8
 
together                             1.00        1.25       59.00       33.50        5.25     C7.0
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4