Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00252394           2           4          68          23           3        C4.8
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00135928           1           1          60          32           6        C6.9
GOES Xray  =   7.44000e-07           1           0          49          43           7        M1.0
est. ISN   =       96.0000           1           0          64          29           6        C6.5
 
together                             0.75        1.50       60.50       31.75        5.50     C6.6
 
realized                                                                                      C1.4