Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00239393           1           4          72          18           5        C4.5
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119498           1           3          61          32           3        C6.0
GOES Xray  =   4.91000e-07           3           1          63          32           1        C5.5
est. ISN   =       93.0000           1           0          74          21           4        C5.7
 
together                             1.50        2.00       67.50       25.75        3.25     C5.3
 
realized                                                                                      C3.6