Estimated Flare Probability ("Lev" 2.0)

based on                            A[%]        B[%]        C[%]        M[%]        X[%]      median
--------------------------         -----       -----       -----       -----       -----      ------
LYRA ch2-3 =    0.00241346           1           3          64          25           7        C4.7
LYRA ch2-4 =    0.00119320           1           2          61          34           2        C5.6
GOES Xray  =   5.75000e-07           1           0          70          26           3        C6.3
est. ISN   =       90.0000           1           0          74          20           5        C4.7
 
together                             0.50        1.50       67.50       26.25        4.25     C5.4
 
realized                                                                                      C2.9